Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.254186 3.591970 3.957726 4.384498 4.870425 5.408381 6.051608
2025-09-07 2.828107 3.292910 3.831334 4.506201 5.336560 6.334110 7.637297
2025-09-14 2.493377 3.013908 3.646459 4.481683 5.570574 6.963386 8.915138
2025-09-21 2.243555 2.792122 3.484291 4.437138 5.739481 7.494845 10.106910
2025-09-28 1.991594 2.534623 3.240028 4.243385 5.667426 7.670145 10.802531
2025-10-05 1.866815 2.427866 3.177643 4.279125 5.902555 8.286607 12.213373
2025-10-12 1.775883 2.356003 3.151830 4.356812 6.197462 9.015478 13.898983
2025-10-19 1.696098 2.291127 3.127147 4.428764 6.484638 9.759091 15.719579
2025-10-26 1.623229 2.229106 3.099234 4.489421 6.755183 10.502340 17.656465
2025-11-02 1.550265 2.160707 3.054952 4.517794 6.972083 11.176599 19.577210
2025-11-09 1.446187 2.038811 2.920379 4.389287 6.910665 11.353131 20.561890
2025-11-16 1.367571 1.950098 2.830071 4.323827 6.948127 11.707427 21.959113
2025-11-23 1.302993 1.880381 2.766827 4.301531 7.065664 12.237724 23.858665
2025-11-30 1.274412 1.864688 2.788070 4.423944 7.457971 13.350945 27.288535
2025-12-07 1.218587 1.802292 2.728892 4.400552 7.574239 13.926892 29.597927
2025-12-14 1.163581 1.737906 2.661942 4.357101 7.646011 14.418070 31.808293
2025-12-21 1.085999 1.632784 2.520523 4.167699 7.411272 14.221437 32.207004
2025-12-28 1.054270 1.601275 2.501881 4.202645 7.630259 15.051446 35.549545
2026-01-04 1.031623 1.583455 2.505311 4.278596 7.940842 16.134533 39.896389
2026-01-11 1.009357 1.564933 2.506064 4.348933 8.246615 17.253658 44.683486
2026-01-18 0.986627 1.544309 2.501586 4.408223 8.534410 18.374957 49.834646
2026-01-25 0.960506 1.516430 2.482222 4.435955 8.754454 19.360751 54.867171
2026-02-01 0.914032 1.450876 2.390592 4.310343 8.611189 19.375118 56.505802